Category Archives: Coronavirus

Half Moon Bay Beaches OPEN Labor Day Weekend.

By Michael G. Stogner

Half Moon Bay City Council voted 5-0 last night to keep the Beaches in Half Moon Bay Open while Monterey County, Santa Cruz County and the City of Pacifica have decided to Close Beaches and Parking Lots.

There is a Worldwide PANDEMIC, No Cure, No Treatment, No Vaccine but that has never been a concern for San Mateo County Leadership. They have consistently been dedicated to Staying off of the States Watchlist, or Getting Off of the States Watchlist. That might be why they have made so many changes to the Data Base, None of it matches.

Back to the Beaches of Half Moon Bay you can’t blame the elected officials in this case, so many moving parts and they don’t get paid for this. The City Manager, Assistant Manager, Sheriff, Chief of Police they do, the Chief who by the way said he would make some calls to see if he could get some extra staff to enforce the closure of Beaches if they voted to close. Think about that, He didn’t say Of Course I will get the extra staff I need to enforce your decision. This is San Mateo County, now known as Silicon Valley and the Police Chief says its going to be tough to enforce it. All five council members were OK with his response.

Even from a simple Math point of view, This is a very bad idea. Half Moon Bay and the SMC Coast experience Gridlock on normal weekends, watch what happens now. This is an invitation to the world the Party is in Half Moon Bay this Labor Day Weekend.

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California COVID-19 Data Glitch Fixed.

By Michael G. Stogner

San Mateo County Dashboard should be fully functional by Sunday night.

A technical glitch that has plagued the data system the state relies on to make decisions about reopening businesses and schools has been fixed but it could take up to 48 hours to get the numbers updated, California’s top health official said Friday.

California Health and Human Services Secretary Dr. Mark Ghaly said that up to 300,000 records might have been backlogged — but not all of them are coronavirus cases and some may be duplicates. California reported 8,436 new confirmed cases Friday and surpassed 10,000 deaths from the coronavirus.

“We apologize. You deserve better, the governor demands better of us and we are committed to doing better,” Ghaly said.

County health officials say they’ve been flying blind, unable to conduct robust contact tracing or monitor health factors without timely information, especially at a time when parents are on edge about school plans.

Update: August 8, 2020 San Mateo County Website does not inform the residents that the Glitch has been corrected.

Health Officer Updates

 

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San Mateo County Data Dashboard.

By Michael G. Stogner

How does San Mateo County Government tell you that on July 30, 2020 there were 64 New Cases. Where does that data come from? It should come from LAB TESTING DATA. When you look at LTD you’ll see there is NO DATA for July 30, 2020.

 

Screen Shot 2020-07-31 at 8.57.35 AM

64 New Cases July 30, 2020

Screen Shot 2020-07-31 at 9.07.21 AM

Last date of Data is July 29, 2020

Screen Shot 2020-07-31 at 9.07.59 AM

Last date of Data is July 29, 2020

 

7 Day Average Positivity Rate from July 22-28, 2020 is 8.614%

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Supervisor David Canepa is the problem.

By Michael G. Stogner

david_canepa

SMC Supervisor David Canepa

We have plenty of hospital beds and are ready for a surge. I don’t want to take a step back, but we must all be prepared. This will require an extraordinary effort at every level of government to ensure these businesses do not fail,” said Supervisor David Canepa. You can see he has shifted to protect businesses instead of Residents.

Supervisor Canepa knows his statement is Misleading and False ICU Beds are the issue not Surge Beds.

San Mateo County has 67 ICU Beds & Staff and was supposed to have 13 ICU Beds and Staff available to meet the 20% Availability Rate 67 ICU Beds & Staff x 20% = 13.4. You will see on the chart below July 23-24 the gray bar is blank the available beds & staff were 5 and 3. Does that sound like “We have plenty of hospital beds.”

Screen Shot 2020-07-29 at 4.04.32 PM

 

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SMC Dr. Scott Morrow July 20, 2020

Health Officer Issues New Statement; Addresses Why COVID-19 is Spreading at Current Higher Level.

Why is the virus spreading here at its current higher level now? I don’t know exactly, but it appears to me that there are 3 major factors. In order to understand what’s going on completely with transmission risks, we don’t have the resources to do case-control studies. We don’t have the wherewithal to do case-control studies given the enormous burden on all the staff at the health department at this time, but we can take some educated guesses based on patterns that we are seeing here. 1. The virus appears remarkably, even surprisingly, transmissible. At pretty much every point over the last 6+ months, I’ve been surprised, and impressed, at how capable this virus is at moving itself between people. It spreads in households like wildfire and it spreads in other indoor environments too. It seems to be everywhere we look. I know this is hard, we’re all exhausted and frustrated by having to take precautions, but the implication of this fact is that you can’t let your guard down, or be careless, even once, especially if you are at high risk. 2. Fundamental structural failures of the US economy are being laid bare by the pandemic. These structural issues seem to be a major cause of the transmission we’re now seeing, at least in San Mateo County. Many elements of the US economy can be viewed as illogical, even immoral in my opinion, in that so many people are forced to live lives of economic desperation, live pay check to pay check, are not paid a living wage, live with no workplace safety nets, like healthcare, like paid sick leave, or other wage protection programs. While these structural issues are illogical in good times, they are downright inexplicable in times of a pandemic. These structural problems are at such a massive scale, they can not be ignored. A majority of people we are seeing infected now are front line workers (people who allow the rest of us to eat, and have electricity, and have our garbage picked up, etc), live in crowded multigenerational conditions, live with lack of trust in, and in fact have downright fear of, government. Remember to stem the spread of this very transmissible virus, people who are infected need to be separated from others (isolation and quarantine), not go out in public, and not go to work while they are infectious. Try getting compliance with isolation and quarantine when the infected person is the breadwinner for the family and the family will be out on the street if they don’t go to work. And when they go to work they will, perhaps, interact at that job with you. There is not enough enforcement capacity in the world to stop this from happening. The implication of this is that the current business focused restrictions will do little to stem the spread of the virus when the spread is exacerbated by these conditions. This requires rapid policy and systems changes at every level of both public and private sectors, from the feds on down, and from the largest corporations to the smallest business. We need to see much more work in this area, and we need to have less reliance on business sector closures and restrictions, beyond getting businesses to do the basic transmission control measures. Failure to fix some of these issues will prolong our collective pain. 3. Complacency is the other majority factor enabling spread. This is either born of belief systems (this is all a hoax, this isn’t that bad for me, let’s go to a party and get infected), or born of just not paying attention. Many, many of our infections are related to fairly small gatherings of family and friends. Birthday parties, picnics, eating at restaurants with mixed households, etc, without the basic precautions being taken. Most of these gatherings are innocent, no doubt, not intending to spread the virus, but they do spread it, and with far reaching implications. Please note, your seemingly innocuous get togethers are driving the spread and are a major reason why you can’t go to a restaurant, why you can’t go to the gym, why you can’t go get your hair cut, why kids can’t go to school. Until, or unless more people get this fact, we will continue to be stuck in the situation we are in. To get out of this situation depends on all of us. Our collective best course of action: No gatherings outside of immediate households, use facial coverings extensively, and social distancing. — Scott Morrow, MD, MPH, MBA San Mateo County Health Officer Please read or reread previous statements to get a better understanding of where we find ourselves today and actions you can take to protect yourselves and your family: https://www.smchealth.org/coronavirus-health-officer-updates.

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San Mateo County It’s Time.

By Michael G. Stogner

You know it’s time when you see the Captain of the Ship putting on his life vest and sneaking onto the lifeboat, or the Pilot putting on his parachute.

We all know that we are responsible for our own safety, The Cavalry  is not coming.

The Federal, State, and County Government has Failed to provide Testing, Contact Tracing, PPE to all those who need it.

SACRAMENTO — The California Senate on Wednesday joined the Assembly in deciding not to return from its summer recess next week, citing the continued spread of the coronavirus, which has now infected several staffers and members in the Legislature.

The decision was announced on the same day that a second Assembly member, Republican Tom Lackey of Palmdale, acknowledged through a spokesman that he has tested positive for the novel coronavirus.

San Mateo County is home to San Francisco International Airport with direct flights from Wuhan. San Jose International Airport also has direct flights from Wuhan.

San Mateo County has Finally reached 0.0 Positivity July 10, 2020 Total Tested 9

San Mateo County has had been told to TEST 1500 people per day. July 8th they tested 141. They have only accomplished that 6 days. All Five County Supervisor are satisfied with those results. It’s Time for the Local Leaders the Mayors to protect the Residents in their Community, Provide Testing in their Cities. Enforce the State and County Health Orders.

July 10, 2020 SMC Tested only 9 People

SMC 0.0% COVID-19 Posiytivity Rate.

This is a PANDEMIC start acting like it.

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CDC Adds 6 Symptoms for COVID-19

By Michael G. Stogner

Today there are NINE Symptoms on the CDC’s list. Just think about how many people were refused a test because they didn’t meet the criteria.

CDC updates list of coronavirus symptoms

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has added six new possible symptoms of the novel coronavirus.

People with COVID-19 have had a wide range of symptoms reported – ranging from mild symptoms to severe illness. These symptoms may appear 2-14 days after exposure to the virus:

• Fever

• Cough

• Shortness of breath or difficulty breathing

• Chills

• Repeated shaking with chills

• Muscle pain

• Headache

• Sore throat

• New loss of taste or smell

It had previously only noted fever, cough and shortness of breath as possible symptoms of COVID-19.

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Pacifica Police Enforcing Dr. Scott Morrow’s Order.

By Michael G. Stogner

It took 17 days to start enforcing Dr. Scott Morrow’s Order, Why? How many people came to Pacifica in that time?

All San Mateo County Law Enforcement should be doing the same. San Mateo County Sheriff Office is also starting to enforce it. All City Council meetings should start with Dr. Scott Morrows Order. Pursuant to Government Code sections 26602 and 41601 and Health and Safety Code section 101029, the Health Officer requests that the Sheriff and all Police in the County ensure compliance with and enforce this Order.The violation of any provision of this Order constitutes an imminent threat and menace to public health, constitutes a public nuisance and is punishable by fine, imprisonment, or both.

To remain within 5 miles of their residence, Face Coverings etc. $1,000 fine. Pretty simple get the word out save lives.

PRESS RELEASE April 20, 2020

POLICE DEPARTMENT ENFORCING SHELTER IN PLACE ORDER ON PACIFICA BEACHES AND PARKING

On March 31, 2020, the San Mateo County Health Officer issued an Order which requires those persons who recreate outdoors to remain within 5 miles of their residence. Pacifica has experienced an influx of visitors from outside of this 5 mile radius as people seek to enjoy the outdoors during this unprecedented shelter in place period.

On Friday through Sunday (April 17-19), officers were assigned to patrol Linda Mar Beach to educate visitors regarding the shelter in place order and social distancing practices. Officers contacted 408 visitors over this 3 day period, ordering 275 off the beach after learning they resided more than 5 miles away.

Also noted was the high percentage of vehicles parked in beach/trail areas from out of the area. Over the same 3 day period, roughly 45% of the vehicles counted were from outside of 5 miles from where they are registered. “The City of Pacifica is committed to following the Health Officer’s orders in order to mitigate the spread of Coronavirus, while also continuing to allow the public within a 5 mile radius to safely access our beautiful beaches,” said Mayor Deirdre Martin. “However, the data we’ve collected and the enforcement we’ve had to take suggests many are not taking these orders seriously. This is alarming because unsafe conditions are occurring and, as a result, the City, in coordination with the State, may be left with no choice but to close the beaches entirely to everyone unless conditions improve.”

As this health crisis continues and the shelter in place order remains in effect, the Pacifica Police Department will be implementing parking restrictions in affected areas, as well as enforcement of the shelter in place order on Linda Mar Beach as well as Mori Point. While Pacifica is normally a visitor friendly area with its beautiful beaches and trails, the City takes this health crisis and shelter in place order seriously. Those found in violation are subject to parking citations and/or criminal arrest.

We look forward to welcoming our visitors back once this crisis has ended.

Daniel Steidle Chief of Police

Path of Portola 1769• San Francisco Bay Discovery Site

DANIEL STEIDLE

Chief of Police

San Mateo County Health Officer Dr. Scott Morrow March 31, 2020 Order.

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SMC Health Officer Dr. Scott Morrow COVID-19 Update.

By Michael G. Stogner

Message from April 13, 2020

Please read or reread my statements below from 3/23/20, 3/16/20, 3/10/20, 3/5/20, and 2/27/20 to get a better understanding of where we find ourselves today and actions you can take to protect yourselves and your family.  

We continue to be in a very challenging situation.  This situation has impacted every aspect of our lives and will continue to do so for a long time.  There are several bits of good news.  By many accounts, there has been extraordinary adherence to the Shelter-in-Place (SIP) orders which were put into place here earlier than in other places in the country.  There is no perfect adherence, by any means, but it seems to be the major reason for lowering the rate of new infections to a stable level.  The adherence has been so good, in fact, the models we’re using to predict our future state don’t seem to be able to account for this fact.  It appears that we have flattened the curve, at least this first curve, for now.  I am hopeful we have avoided the catastrophe that New York and Italy experienced, for the time being.  Everyone who is cooperating with the orders and law enforcement and others who are enforcing the orders should be commended in the highest possible way.  Although it may not seem like it, you are doing your part, you are serving your community by limiting your contact with others.  Thank you.  And, as always, special thanks to our first responders, healthcare workers, and other essential workers who are keeping us safe and fed during this crisis.

TRADE OFFS. Without doubt, we will get through this.  But we need to be very deliberate about our next steps.  If we don’t take our next steps carefully, we will experience the worst of what this virus has to offer.  What we’re being faced with, in our immediate future, are trade-offs of the most significant kind.  We have to find a way to increase the immunity of the population (in public health terms, this is called “herd immunity”) slowly and methodically, while minimizing death, with equity in mind, while not overloading the healthcare system, and minimizing economic damage.  Many of these considerations work in opposite directions.  An effective vaccine or effective medical treatments would certainly make our path forward much easier, but neither of these seem to be available to us in the short or medium term.  There is no playbook for the decisions we face or the balance we should attempt to maintain between these competing interests.  Some very smart people have put forth some criteria that should be considered regarding how to slowly unwind the SIP orders and we are considering all of them now.  Most of these decisions have very limited underlying supporting data.  One thing I do know is that releasing the restrictions on movement and gatherings too soon, or in not an incremental enough way, will diminish the gains we’ve made and will unleash the very thing we are attempting to avoid.  Herd immunity is typically 70-80+/-% based on the characteristics of the disease.  So we have a long way to go.  There are no quick fixes.

DATA. There has been some concern expressed that we’re not being transparent enough with the data.  Everyone would like more data.  Well, I too would like more data.  There simply is not a lot of data either about the virus itself, how and why it spreads so easily, how and why it causes such devastating disease in some folks, or how it’s spreading here.  For those who are deeply steeped in working with data, as I and my staff are, you know that datasets have their own personalities, their own strengths and their own weaknesses.  You know that data can either lead you to an approximation of the truth, or data can mislead you and cause you to make incorrect conclusions and, therefore, take wrong actions.  The data we have is, simply, very limited.  This is based on the facts that many characteristics of the virus are unknown and that testing remains very constrained here.  This requires us to synthesize estimates from very different sources of data that may be more qualitative in nature.  For the data that is put up on our website, except for the hospital level data, which is mostly accurate, I tend to look at it skeptically, specifically the cases and the deaths, not because those aren’t accurate from what we know, but because they don’t reflect what’s actually going on very well.  People generally want data to be able to make informed decisions about lowering their risk.  The data we have, if it were to be presented to you on a more granular level, would be misleading, and I believe, downright deceptive.  This is what I think you need to know.  This virus appears to be wildly transmissible especially within households or congregate settings.  Your risk from contracting the infection from any human you encounter in San Mateo County and outside your immediate household continues to be substantial unless you take all the recommended actions to protect yourself.  I hesitate to give you the following numbers, because first of all they are a guess, and secondly because some will think they are too low to take action.  My best guess is that approximately 2-3% of the SMC population are currently infected or have recovered from the infection.  That’s around 15-25,000 people and they are all over the county and in every community.  I don’t believe this number is off by a factor of 10, but it could be off by a factor of 2 to 3.  Without the SIP, it could have well been over 50-75,000 by now, and that would have overwhelmed our healthcare system.  So if you want to get a sense of how many infected or recovered cases are around you, just multiply your city population by 2 or 3%.  My best guess on the number of people who are capable of transmitting the virus now is just under 1%, or approximately 5-7,000 people.  These numbers are likely to be more accurate than the numbers we are sharing on our website.  I know that sounds ridiculous, but these estimates are better than the direct counts that I can currently provide you.  That’s the status of our testing data at the moment.  I anticipate, and am hopeful, that our estimates will improve remarkably over time.

Scott Morrow, MD, MPH
San Mateo County Health Officer
April 13, 2020

Dr. Scott Morrow March 16, 2020 SIP Order

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San Mateo County Close all Parks. Get on the same page.

By Michael G. Stogner

Update: March 27, 2020 1:30 PM Good News SMC Parks are Closed

This should be a no brainer, COVID-19 is a Virus with no cure, no vaccine, we don’t know how it spreads, we have first responders who wear PPE getting infected and San Mateo County Leaders think its ok to encourage people to leave their homes after Governor Newson issued a Stay in Home order, on top of San Mateo County Health Shelter in Place order. This is like the President saying go to Church on Easter Sunday.

From: Sabrina BRENNAN <sabrina@dfm.com>
Subject: CLOSE ALL SMC COUNTY PARKS
Date: March 27, 2020 at 11:37:01 AM PDT
To: Nicholas Calderon <NCalderon@smcgov.org>
Cc: Don Horsley <dhorsley@smcgov.org>, Deborah Hirst <dhirst@smcgov.org>, Chris Hunter <chris.hunter@asm.ca.gov>

Hello Nicholas, 
Please apply common sense and meet the moment!  
San Mateo County Parks message to “Keep Parks Open” is inconsistent with Scott Morrow’s message to the public and is giving the public the idea that it is just fine to go to your favorite park or beach. Your decision to keep County Parks open is straining local resources, especially the grocery markets, and absolutely increasing the COVID-19 pandemic.
Yesterday, the public got into a yelling and screaming fight at the Fitzgerald Marine Reserve after hours and sticks and logs were being thrown by visitors who appeared inebriated. I’m concerned that another bloody fist fight might breakout on the Pillar Point Bluff Trail as was the case not that long ago when an off leash dog walker got into a physical altercation with visitors and the Sheriff had to intervene.
Governor Newsom’s decision to close State Parks was wise; please follow his lead. I urge you to close all County Parks including the Fitzgerald Marine Reserve. Please take action and close County Parks TODAY before the weekend! 


Thank you,

Sabrina Brennan & Aimee Luthringer Moss Beach, CA

Send Nicholas Calderon an e-mail

Dave Pine <dpine@smcgov.org>

To:Michael Stogner,akeighran@burlingame.org,Adam Rak,t.livermore@woodsidetown.org,Herb Perez and 57 more…Fri, Mar 27 at 1:21 PM

We initially held off on closing the parks given the importance of getting outside and exercising and doing things for the good of one’s mental health.  But because of the overwhelming crowds at the parks, people not practicing social distancing, and the shortage of park personnel, we made the call today to close all the County Parks.  A public announcement will be going out soon.

Dave Pine

Dave Pine

Supervisor, District 1

San Mateo County Board of Supervisors

400 County Center, 1st Floor

Redwood City, CA 94063

(650) 363-4571 (w)

(650) 814-3103 (m)

Beckmeyer, Sue <beckmeyers@ci.pacifica.ca.us>

To:Michael Stogner Fri, Mar 27 at 2:16 PM

Hi Michael,
The County Manager has closed all county parks as of today.
Regards,- Sue Beckmeyer   Pacifica Mayor pro Tem

San Mateo County Parks Announcement

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