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San Mateo County locks in $6.2 billion spending plan while preparing for funding cuts that could threaten 1,000 jobs

San Mateo County, California – A $6.2 billion budget usually suggests expansion. In San Mateo County, however, the bigger story is protection, keeping health care, housing assistance, food programs and public safety steady while major funding questions remain unresolved.

The numbers also carry a warning. County officials say changes in federal programs and an unresolved state revenue dispute could eventually put hundreds of jobs and essential services at risk, even as supervisors move forward with long-planned investments.

The San Mateo County Board of Supervisors adopted the final 2026-27 budget Tuesday. It continues funding for core services while preparing for new federal eligibility, work and documentation requirements affecting Medi-Cal. About 52,000 beneficiaries in the county are expected to navigate those changes.

“We are expecting significant fiscal changes from the state and federal levels,” Board President Noelia Corzo said, describing the budget as a way to maintain services residents rely on.

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Another major concern is the county’s ongoing Vehicle License Fee revenue dispute. San Mateo County officials estimate that the county and its 20 cities face a $226 million VLF replacement funding shortfall for 2025-26. Without a long-term solution, officials project cumulative losses will exceed $1 billion by 2030. They have warned that as many as 1,000 jobs could ultimately be affected, including roughly 600 County government positions.

California lawmakers have committed to working toward a longer-term solution, but the final budget assumes the County will receive the replacement funding it says it is owed.

Despite that uncertainty, the County is moving ahead with major projects. The budget contains $793 million for previously approved capital work and includes $50 million for workforce housing, $35 million for Coastside projects, $10 million for a child care initiative and $5 million for parks.

The $6.2 billion total also includes about $983 million carried forward from the previous fiscal year for approved work that was not completed by June 30. The budget adds only three net positions, bringing authorized staffing to 5,948.

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San Mateo County will also retain $624.8 million in General Fund reserves and contingencies, giving officials a financial cushion if economic conditions or state and federal funding worsen.

For a county of more than 750,000 residents, the spending plan is therefore as much about preserving room to react as it is about spending now. The services remain funded. The larger question is how long that stability can be maintained if outside funding does not follow.

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